For those looking to add an extra dimension to their sports betting portfolio, NFL futures can offer a thrilling opportunity to engage with the sport on a season-long basis. Unlike traditional game-by-game wagering, futures betting invites you to forecast the outcomes of major season-long achievements long before the final plays unfold.
In this comprehensive guide, we’ll decode the world of NFL futures betting in 2024, from understanding the basics and deciphering the odds, to strategic hedging techniques designed to preserve your winnings. Join us as we unlock the secrets of NFL futures betting and embark on a journey to success in this dynamic and highly competitive arena.
The Fundamentals of NFL Futures Betting
At its core, futures betting in the NFL revolves around predicting outcomes that are determined at a future date, typically at the end of the season. This could include which team will win the Super Bowl, who will be crowned the MVP, or which quarterbacks will lead in passing yards.
What sets futures apart is the timing of the bet; you’re placing your wager based on predictions for how the entire season will play out, rather than the outcomes of individual games. This makes it a longer-term investment, but one that can yield significant payouts if you make the right calls.
One thing that sets NFL futures apart from other football wagers is bang for your buck. A well placed NFL futures bets will provide you with season-long excitement. Pick the right running back or wide receiver and watch his touchdowns add up. Really think you got what it takes? Pick multiple superstars and parlay an NFL futures bet for even more excitement.
How Futures Odds Work
Odds for NFL futures are initially set by oddsmakers based on a multitude of factors. Some include previous season performances, off-season acquisitions, the strength of the schedule, and so forth.
These odds are dynamic and will shift as the season progresses due to injuries, trades, and other unforeseen variables that could influence a team’s or player’s performance trajectory. Understanding how to interpret these odds is key to making informed futures bets.
Typically, you’ll see odds expressed in either a “+” or “-” format, indicating the payout for a successful bet or the amount needed to win a $100 stake, respectively. For example, a team with +500 odds to win the Super Bowl means that if you bet $100 and they win, you’ll receive $500 in winnings. On the other hand, a team with -200 odds would require a $200 bet in order to win $100 in profits. These odds are constantly fluctuating, so it’s crucial to keep an eye on them and strike at the right time.
Types of NFL Futures Bets
The range of NFL futures bets is vast, offering something for fans of all levels. Some of the most popular futures markets include:
- Super Bowl Champion: Betting on which team will lift the Lombardi Trophy is perhaps the quintessential NFL futures bet. While predicting the NFL is never an easy task, doing so before the season starts can be very lucrative. The shortest odds to start the season will normally be around +500-700, with top contenders paying out +1000 to +3000. That’s a $3000 return on a $100 bet!
- Division and Conference Winners: These bets focus on who will win each of the eight divisions and two conferences. When all is said and done, and the 18 week NFL season has been played out, knowing how divisions and conferences shape out will pad your betting bankroll.
- Season Awards: Wagering on who will win major awards like the MVP, Rookies of the Year, or Coach of the Year. Maybe your favorite college football player from last year got drafted by your favorite NFL team. Sprinkle a few dollars on him to win ROY. One more example of the longterm excitement NFL futures can bring.
The $10,000 bet between former LSU teammates Jayden Daniels and Malik Nabers for the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award is off.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) May 10, 2024
Story via @JordanRaanan:https://t.co/f3bRe62RFF
- Exact Result: If you feel like you have a great read on a game, you can wager on the exact result of that game. Exact result futures vary depending on which sportsbook you use. For example, you can find Super Bowl exact result odds for the 2025 winner. The Chiefs to beat the 49ers is the favorite (+2500) with MASSIVE odds for the Steelers to beat the Panthers (+1,000,000)
- Player Performance: Futures can also be placed on player-specific achievements, such as leading the league in rushing, receiving, or making the most interceptions. Player performance NFL futures have become extremely popular due to being so closely related to fantasy football. Fantasy managers doing research for their drafts, as well as in-season transaction already gives them a leg up on sportsbooks that have to tend to thousands of NFL futures betting markets.
Advantages and Disadvantages of NFL Futures
Futures betting isn’t without its pros and cons.
On the plus side, it offers the prospect of substantial payouts, especially if you’re betting on underdogs or outcomes that seem less likely at the season’s start. Futures also enhance the fan experience, giving you a season-long stake in the successes of teams or players you’re rooting for.
However, the primary drawback is the long hold on your capital; funds wagered on futures won’t be available until the bet is settled. This could impact your liquidity for other betting opportunities. Additionally, the long-term nature of these bets means they’re inherently riskier, subject to the volatile nature of sports seasons.
The truth is predicting a single outcome in a game being played today is difficult. Put all those game factors together with the unseen factors of a complete NFL season, you can see how hard predicting NFL futures really is. This is why we will never recommend using a large chunk of your betting bankroll budget on futures.
Strategies for Success
When it comes to NFL futures betting, there are a few key strategies you can utilize to increase your chances of success. Like any other wager, the more informed you are, the better chance you’ll have at correctly predicting outcomes. This includes staying up to date on team and player news, injuries, and trends.
These days, players have a platform on social media to let everyone know how they’re feeling. Take Stefon Diggs in Buffalo for example. It was very apparent that he was not happy playing for the Bills. Not only did his actions on the field show it, but it also showed in his stat line. If you bet Diggs’ UNDER receptions and receiving yards down the stretch last season, chances are you made bank.
Keeping up to date with all the league drama can be daunting, but it will help you in the long run. If you don’t have time, find yourself a source that only provides relevant NFL news for you. Staying informed about roster changes, injuries and team dynamics is crucial when making futures bets.
Another strategy you should consider is diversifying your futures bets. Rather than putting all your eggs in one basket with a single team or player, spread out your bets across different markets and outcomes. This can help mitigate risk and increase your chances of netting a profit.
Lastly, it’s important to shop around for the best odds. Different sportsbooks will offer different lines and odds, so make sure to compare and choose the most favorable ones for your bets.
Hedging Your NFL Futures Bets
Hedging is a strategy used to ensure a profit or minimize the potential loss on a futures bet before it settles. The essence of hedging involves placing additional bets on outcomes that are contrary to your original wager when it appears likely to win but not guaranteed.
For instance, if you’ve bet on a team to win the Super Bowl and they make it to the championship game, you might bet on their opponent to secure a guaranteed payout regardless of the game’s outcome.
Here are a few considerations for hedging NFL futures:
- Timing is Everything: The ideal moment to hedge your bet can vary, but it often boils down to personal risk tolerance and the market dynamics closer to the event.
- Risk vs. Reward: Assess the potential profit of your original bet against the cost of your hedge. The objective is to find a balance that maximizes profit while minimizing risk.
- Market Movements: Keep a close eye on how odds shift throughout the season and adjust your strategy accordingly. Sometimes, the best hedge is no hedge at all, especially if the odds aren’t in your favor.
Final Tips for Winning NFL Futures
- Stay Informed: Keep up-to-the-minute on the latest NFL news, injuries, trades, and other factors that could impact your futures bets.
- Manage Your Bankroll: Due to the long-term nature of futures, ensure you’re allocating funds responsibly and not overextending yourself.
- Shop Around for Odds: Different sportsbooks may offer varying odds for the same futures bet. Shopping around ensures you get the best value for your wager.
NFL futures betting offers a unique and engaging way to participate in the football season. With the right blend of knowledge, strategic insight, and a bit of foresight, NFL futures can add a rewarding layer to your sports betting endeavors.
Remember, successful futures betting is as much about enjoying the ride as it is about the payoff at the end. Here’s to your futures betting success in the 2024 NFL season!